Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 23.961049 27.706783 31.761702 36.466920 41.765417 47.536188 54.285403
2025-01-19 16.457485 21.348664 27.170943 34.561572 43.637165 54.358622 67.917723
2025-01-26 13.747152 19.487653 26.832718 36.799317 49.831984 66.142084 87.921733
2025-02-02 12.337590 18.806784 27.582066 40.136818 57.378540 79.932276 111.313584
2025-02-09 10.489612 17.112348 26.594347 40.830044 61.258688 89.047902 129.129316
2025-02-16 8.873248 15.428398 25.297170 40.783139 63.907499 96.483801 144.988263
2025-02-23 7.505299 13.869451 23.917165 40.348306 65.800593 102.819199 159.545360
2025-03-02 6.428636 12.589125 22.761404 40.048358 67.746255 109.220516 174.447682
2025-03-09 5.536045 11.466870 21.690260 39.708901 69.508099 115.351567 189.198331
2025-03-16 4.472695 9.851107 19.564814 37.366879 67.813075 116.001020 195.587238
2025-03-23 4.102357 9.481550 19.555552 38.581061 71.962802 125.942985 216.782418
2025-03-30 3.837390 9.275846 19.807751 40.252446 76.966895 137.495992 241.082282
2025-04-06 3.232068 8.298133 18.556904 39.207198 77.434420 142.060668 255.083458
2025-04-13 2.630164 7.215962 16.964952 37.370413 76.386075 144.117842 265.296083
2025-04-20 2.512382 7.218479 17.564324 39.803585 83.265535 160.070923 299.582968
2025-04-27 2.496102 7.461125 18.692062 43.382941 92.529033 180.678104 342.824850
2025-05-04 2.252788 7.089578 18.441029 44.126079 96.457400 192.098203 370.838091
2025-05-11 1.984660 6.596168 17.846101 44.076209 98.820853 200.818245 394.549442
2025-05-18 1.726926 6.072457 17.101870 43.611107 100.294090 207.954144 415.757236
2025-05-25 1.512037 5.620735 16.460319 43.290223 102.007044 215.594337 438.210007
2025-06-01 1.323229 5.201439 15.834531 42.927038 103.581450 223.028446 460.612013
2025-06-08 1.066155 4.496509 14.363992 40.420525 100.399639 221.103815 465.512414
2025-06-15 0.996766 4.397781 14.483219 41.720155 105.512543 235.626598 502.007277